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Brand Intelligence
Live from Quid
Sponsorship Intelligence · Formula 1

Tommy Hilfiger in Formula 1:
what losing Mercedes actually cost.

Tommy Hilfiger was replaced by Adidas for the Mercedes-AMG kit deal, signed with Cadillac's to outfit their new grid entry, and dressed a fictional team that was central to the blockbuster F1 movie. We read every Tommy Hilfiger social post from the last 27 months to work out whether that was a retreat or a repositioning.

Trailing 27 months · May 2024 – Aug 2026 51,194 partnership posts 5.1M brand posts screened
The three partnerships
Mercedes2018 – 2024 · outbid by Adidas
15,740
Cadillac2025 – present · first major partner
20,030
APXGP2025 · fictional team, F1 The Movie
15,424
Quid Monitor topic 2938989 · Tommy Hilfiger · 28 months
Losing Mercedes looks worse than it was. Tommy's Mercedes conversation was never really a Mercedes asset — it was a Lewis Hamilton asset, and it fell 81% the year he left for Ferrari, before Adidas had shipped a single shirt. Cadillac has already overtaken it: 20,030 posts against Mercedes' 15,740 across the full window, 12,018 of them in 2026 alone on a season still only part-run. The real cost is not damage, it is ambition — Adidas is pulling 7× Tommy's Mercedes volume out of the same team.

Mercedes-AMG F1

2018 – 2024 · outbid by Adidas
15,740Tommy-linked posts
30.7% of all Tommy F1 conversation
0.26%capture rate
9.9Kauthors
3.9Kpeak · Aug’24
80%in peak year
May ’24Aug ’26
peak202412.6K20252.4K2026708

Cadillac F1

2025 – present · first major partner
20,030Tommy-linked posts
39.1% of all Tommy F1 conversation
2.37%capture rate
12.1Kauthors
4.4Kpeak · Jul’25
60%in peak year
May ’24Aug ’26
20249820257.9Kpeak202612.0K

APXGP

2025 · fictional team, F1 The Movie
15,424Tommy-linked posts
30.1% of all Tommy F1 conversation
0.99%capture rate
9.9Kauthors
8.1Kpeak · May’25
97%in peak year
May ’24Aug ’26
202456peak202515.0K2026347
51,194Partnership posts
31,890Authors
9.1×Cadillac capture vs Mercedes
7.1×Adidas vs Tommy at Mercedes
17Sourced posts
The verdict

Three questions, three answers

Three questions the data can actually answer.

What did not matching Adidas's bid actually cost?
Less than it looks — but not nothing
Tommy's Mercedes conversation was already falling before the deal ended. It ran 12,625 posts in 2024 and 2,407 in 2025 — an 81% drop — and the break point is January 2025, when Lewis Hamilton left for Ferrari, not the Adidas handover. Every entity cluster in the Mercedes data is Hamilton: his name, his Met Gala origin story, the Clarence Ruth collection, the Russell style swaps. Tommy was renting Hamilton, and Hamilton left. The handover itself was a non-event — almost nothing in 27 months of conversation mentions it, so there was no backlash to absorb. The genuine cost shows up elsewhere: Adidas is generating 7.1× Tommy's Mercedes volume from the same team, converting 1.87% of the Mercedes conversation against Tommy's 0.26%. Read that gap carefully, though: Adidas is in year one of a new collaboration, Tommy was in year seven of the same one. A first season spends its announcement, its launch and its first kit reveal inside this window; a seventh has none of those left to spend. Part of the 7.1× is activation and part is novelty — but even discounted, it says the platform was capable of more than late-stage Tommy was taking from it.
sources 542
Did Cadillac replace what was lost?
Yes — and it is the better asset
20,030 posts against Mercedes' 15,740, and Cadillac is the only one of the three still growing: 12,018 in 2026 alone with the season only part-run, from 12,145 authors against Mercedes' 9,851. It converts harder too — Tommy captures 2.37% of Cadillac's F1 conversation versus 0.26% of Mercedes', the salience, because a new team has fewer partners competing for attention. The composition is healthier: driver content (Pérez, Bottas, Zhou), a collection that shipped in February 2026, and unprompted fan posts about the merch rather than brand-owned campaign assets. It is also the least concentrated of the three — 60% of its posts fall in its biggest year against 80% for Mercedes and 97% for APXGP, which is what a partnership rather than a campaign looks like. The honest caveat is reach: Cadillac's total conversation is 7× smaller than Mercedes'. Tommy traded raw audience for ownership and got the better end of it.
sources 9101167
Was sponsoring APXGP in the F1 movie worth it?
Great campaign. Not an asset
For eight weeks it was the most productive thing Tommy did in Formula 1. 13,285 of its 15,424 posts land in April–May 2025, the May peak of 8,139 posts is 2.1× the best month Mercedes ever produced, and 97% of everything it ever generated falls inside a single year — the most concentrated of the three by a wide margin. Then it stops: 347 posts in all of 2026. Two qualifications. A large share of the volume was Tommy's own ambassadors — the Thai #TommyFamily cohort, Gemini & Fourth, Pond Naravit — riding the film rather than the film's audience finding Tommy, and Thailand is its third-largest market at 10%. Second, the movie conversation is the most contested of the three, so it was also the least safe. A well-executed campaign that bought a spike, not a partnership that built anything.
sources 1213171516
The handoff

Tommy Hilfiger conversation, month by month

Mercedes-AMG F1Cadillac F1APXGPMonthly Tommy-linked posts · sampled index
01.8K3.5K5.2K7.0KMayJul’24AugNovJan’25FebMayJul’25AugNovJan’26FebMayJul’26AugClarence Ruth collabHamilton leaves for FerrariF1 The Movie press runCadillac deal announcedCadillac collection ships
Three partnerships, one continuous handoff. Mercedes peaks at 3.9K posts in August 2024, then falls away through 2025 — the decline begins in January, the month Hamilton's Ferrari move took effect, and it never recovers. APXGP spikes for eight weeks around the film's press run and is effectively gone by 2026. Cadillac starts from nothing in mid-2025 and is the only line still climbing.

Capture rate — how much of each team’s conversation Tommy actually owns

Tommy-linked posts as a share of that team’s total Formula 1 conversation over the same window. Adidas at Mercedes is shown as the benchmark Tommy declined to match.

Mercedes15.7K of 5.1M
0.26%
Cadillac20.0K of 718.8K
2.37%
APXGP15.4K of 1.3M
0.99%
Adidas at Mercedes94.9K of 5.1M
1.87%
Adidas x Mercedes generated 94.9K posts from 1.2K authors7.1× Tommy’s entire 27-month Mercedes total, out of the same team. Adidas is in its first season and Tommy was in his seventh, so read this as the ceiling on the gap rather than a like-for-like comparison.
The context

Three partnerships, three different conversations

Volume tells you which partnership worked. The entity clusters underneath tell you why — and they are three completely different conversations. Each driver below is shown with the post that carries it.

Mercedes-AMG F1
What the Mercedes conversation was made of
Hamilton was the partnership

Lewis Hamilton, his Met Gala origin story with Tommy, and his personal fashion week presence dominate every entity cluster. Remove him and there is almost no Mercedes conversation left.

Style content, not race content

The posts that travel are wardrobe posts — Hamilton and George Russell swapping outfits, who-wore-it-better framing. Race weekends barely register.

2Mercedes · style over sport — open on X
The Clarence Ruth collab was the ceiling

The June 2024 designer collaboration drove the partnership's best run, peaking at 3,890 posts in August 2024. Nothing after it came close.

Cadillac F1
What the Cadillac conversation is made of
The drivers carry it

Sergio Pérez, Valtteri Bottas and Zhou Guanyu appear across the top terms alongside the CT5-V Blackwing hot-lap content, and Mexico is now the second-largest market. This is motorsport conversation, not lookbook conversation.

Merch people actually want

The February 2026 collection launch is the single biggest month, and the cluster includes unprompted fan posts about the merchandise rather than brand-owned campaign copy.

First partner on a brand-new grid

Tommy is cited as Cadillac's first major partner — an ownership position it could never occupy at Mercedes, and the reason its share of the conversation runs so far ahead of its spend.

APXGP
What the APXGP conversation was made of
Damson Idris did the heavy lifting

The film's lead actor is the top term by a wide margin; the most-shared post is simply him wearing Tommy, framed as actor-and-designer both being part of the movie.

Thai fandom supplied the volume

#TommyFamily, GeminiFourth and Pond Naravit run through the whole cluster, and geography confirms it: Thailand is APXGP's third market at 10% of located posts, against 0.5% for Mercedes. This was Tommy's ambassador network amplifying a film, not a film delivering a new audience.

Red carpet, not racetrack

Earned coverage came from entertainment press — Variety's premiere carpet, Highsnobiety on the fictional team's kit — rather than motorsport media.

14APXGP · red carpet, not racetrack — open on X
Channels

Where the conversation actually happens

All three partnerships live on X — between 77% and 89% of every post — with news coverage a distant second and everything else a rounding error. The mix barely differs between them, which is itself the finding: none of these partnerships opened a new channel.

Mercedes

15,740 posts
Share of posts
X 76.9% 12.1KNews 13.1% 2.1KInstagram 5.3% 839Reddit 1.8% 290YouTube 1.0% 159Blogs 0.8% 122

Cadillac

20,030 posts
Share of posts
X 87.2% 17.5KNews 6.6% 1.3KInstagram 3.1% 629Reddit 0.9% 188YouTube 0.3% 60Blogs 0.9% 174Facebook 0.3% 70

APXGP

15,424 posts
Share of posts
X 89.2% 13.8KNews 6.5% 1.0KInstagram 2.8% 430Blogs 0.4% 67Facebook 0.3% 50
Two things follow from this. First, the mix is almost identical across all three — no partnership opened a channel the others did not already have, so channel strategy is not what separates them. Second, a methodological note: engagement is not reported anywhere in this brief. Quid's aggregate engagement metric returns exactly zero for X even though individual X posts plainly carry it — Cadillac's top tweets return 2,750, 1,410 and 1,170 — and X is 77–89% of all posts here. Any engagement total, share or per-post average built on that would be wrong rather than merely incomplete, so the brief is carried by volume, timing, concentration and composition instead.
Who & where

Who’s talking — and from which market

Where each partnership found its audience, from a sweep of 55 markets on Quid's exact-count index. Shares are of the located subset — roughly 42–45% of each partnership's posts carry a location — so read them as where a conversation skews, not as market sizing.

Bubble area = share of that partnership’s own located posts · hover a bubble, or a name to isolate it
United StatesMexicoUnited KingdomFranceBrazilThailandMalaysiaIndia

Mercedes — gender

Female2.5K posts
54%
Male2.1K posts
46%

Cadillac — gender

Female3.4K posts
49%
Male3.5K posts
51%

APXGP — gender

Female2.4K posts
71%
Male972 posts
29%

Mercedes — markets

44% located
United States
29.3%2.1K
United Kingdom
25.7%1.8K
Canada
5.0%353
India
4.1%287
South Africa
3.9%276

Cadillac — markets

43% located
United States
47.4%4.1K
Mexico
22.5%1.9K
United Kingdom
7.0%596
India
2.5%213
Canada
1.5%132

APXGP — markets

42% located
United States
57.2%3.7K
United Kingdom
11.5%738
Thailand
10.4%667
Brazil
1.9%122
India
1.9%119
The strategic signal, and it is not the one the sampled data suggested. Mercedes was never a global spread: it was an Anglophone partnership, 29% United States and 26% United Kingdom — Hamilton's home market — with Mexico contributing just 54 posts in 27 months. Cadillac roughly doubles the American volume and adds what Mercedes never had: Mexico is its second market at 22.5%, 1,922 posts against Mercedes' 54, on the back of Sergio Pérez. APXGP went somewhere else again — 57% US, 11% UK and 10% Thailand, the geographic signature of the Thai ambassador cohort rather than of a film audience discovering the brand.
Why

The drivers behind the numbers

The five things worth understanding before the next renewal comes up.

Why did the Mercedes conversation collapse in January 2025?
Because it was never diversified. Tommy's Mercedes clusters are entirely Hamilton-shapedLewis Hamilton, LHFW, Looking good champ, the Clarence Ruth collaboration, the Lewis and George swapping styles series — and the geography agrees: 26% of located posts are British, Hamilton's home market. When he moved to Ferrari the partnership's only engine went with him and volume fell from 12,625 posts in 2024 to 2,407 in 2025. The Adidas handover landed on a decline already well underway.
4Mercedes · a Hamilton relationship — open on X
Why does Cadillac punch so far above its weight?
Scarcity. Cadillac's total F1 conversation is 7× smaller than Mercedes', but Tommy captures 2.37% of it against 0.26% at Mercedes — roughly nine times the salience. A brand-new team has few partners, so an apparel partner is a headline rather than a footnote. Tommy is also the one being cited as the team's first major partner, an ownership position it could never buy at Mercedes.
Why did APXGP disappear so completely?
It was a release window, not a relationship. 86% of the volume falls in April and May 2025 around the film's press run, and only 347 posts survive into 2026. Campaign-shaped conversation decays to nothing once the campaign stops; partnership-shaped conversation has race weekends to renew it. The APXGP kit had neither a season nor a driver to come back to.
What is Adidas getting that Tommy did not take?
Volume, through activation intensity — and a launch year. Adidas is producing 7.1× Tommy's Mercedes-linked volume and converting 1.87% of the Mercedes conversation against Tommy's 0.26%. But the two are not at the same point in their life. Adidas is in year one; Tommy was in year seven, and had spent his announcement, his launch and his first kit reveal years before this window opened. Part of the gap is Adidas working the platform harder, part is simply that it is new, and 27 months cannot separate the two — the clean test would be Adidas's first year against Tommy's first year, back in 2018. What survives the discount is the direction: even a mature partnership should not be converting a fifth of what a new one does on the same team. Both sides of this comparison come from the sampled index, so it is a ratio rather than a count.
Does the near-perfect sentiment mean anything?
Only as an absence of risk. All three score between +90 and +97, but so does the parent Tommy Hilfiger topic — this is what fashion conversation looks like, and the negative volumes are too small to separate the three. The useful read is that none of it generated backlash: not the Adidas handover, not the Cadillac signing, not dressing a fictional team. What does separate them is concentration: 97% of APXGP's posts fall in one year against 60% of Cadillac's. Sentiment says all three were safe; concentration says only one of them was built to last.

What to do with this

Cadillac · protect it

Sign the drivers, not just the team

Every durable spike in the Cadillac data has a driver in it — Pérez for Mexico, which went from 54 Mercedes-linked posts to 1,922. The February collection worked because it shipped against race week. Lock driver-level rights and a per-race content cadence before the 2027 partner queue forms and the capture rate starts falling toward the Mercedes number. And judge it on the right clock: Cadillac is Tommy’s own year one, so some of that 2.37% is the same newness that flatters Adidas. The number that settles it is whether it still clears 1% in year three.
APXGP · bank it

Treat film as reach, not residency

The movie tie-in bought 13,285 posts in eight weeks — a peak month 2.1× the best Mercedes ever managed, for what is almost certainly a fraction of a title-kit fee. That is a good trade as long as it is budgeted as a campaign. Repeat the mechanic — entertainment properties with a release date — and stop expecting a tail from it.
The lesson · apply it

Buy salience, not logos

Mercedes proved that a huge conversation you own 0.26% of is worth less than a small one you own 2.37% of. Score every future motorsport or sponsorship decision on projected capture rate and home-market share, not on the property's total audience — that single test would have called both the Mercedes decline and the Cadillac upside early. Re-score it every season, too: capture rate decays as a partnership ages, so the benchmark to beat is your own year-three figure, not the year-one one that every new deal flatters.
Sources

The real posts behind the story

Every claim above traces to a real post. X is 77–89% of the corpus so it leads the set, but the citations deliberately span Instagram, Reddit, TikTok and Facebook too, because the most telling material — the brand's own campaign posts and the unprompted fan debate — is not all in one place.

  1. 1
    Mercedes · the Hamilton engine · Instagram · @tommyhilfiger · 2025-06-16
    https://www.instagram.com/reel/DK-KpUDSrt9/
  2. 2
    Mercedes · style over sport · X · @TommyHilfiger · 2024-09-19
    https://x.com/TommyHilfiger/status/1836776003185570131
  3. 3
    Mercedes · the collab peak · Instagram · @tommyhilfiger · 2024-06-20
    https://www.instagram.com/p/C8cVwb_NCp-/
  4. 4
    Mercedes · a Hamilton relationship · X · @simsgazette · 2025-05-06
    https://x.com/simsgazette/status/1919546493205184525
  5. 5
    Mercedes · the Clarence Ruth drop · X · @fiagirly · 2024-06-18
    https://x.com/fiagirly/status/1803066870573961427
  6. 6
    Cadillac · drivers do the work · Instagram · @tommyhilfiger · 2026-05-01
    https://www.instagram.com/reel/DXzEptLo8qU/
  7. 7
    Cadillac · the fans debate it · Reddit · @Ambitious-Heron-8161 · 2026-02-05
    https://www.reddit.com/r/DestinationFormula1/comments/1qwmgy6/do_you_like_the_cadillac_x_tommy_hilfiger/
  8. 8
    Cadillac · earned coverage · Facebook · @planetf1com · 2025-06-03
    https://www.facebook.com/1089153909908384/posts/1132518552238586
  9. 9
    Cadillac · the announcement · Instagram · @tommyhilfiger · 2025-06-04
    https://www.instagram.com/reel/DKevHR8oVfU/
  10. 10
    Cadillac · unprompted fan voice · X · @l4ndowecanbewdc · 2026-02-05
    https://x.com/l4ndowecanbewdc/status/2019340771690688539
  11. 11
    Cadillac · product lands · Instagram · @tommyhilfiger · 2026-02-04
    https://www.instagram.com/reel/DUVeXQqCOxc/
  12. 12
    APXGP · the actor carried it · Instagram · @tommyhilfiger · 2025-05-06
    https://www.instagram.com/reel/DJTSCfDtNfU/
  13. 13
    APXGP · the fandom engine · TikTok · @nilskue · 2025-06-07
    https://www.tiktok.com/@nilskue/video/7513294056940670230
  14. 14
    APXGP · red carpet, not racetrack · X · @Variety · 2025-06-23
    https://x.com/Variety/status/1937200679627694103
  15. 15
    APXGP · a fictional team's kit · Facebook · @highsnobiety · 2025-06-03
    https://www.facebook.com/637020705127317/posts/1096697692492947
  16. 16
    APXGP · the actor's own post · Instagram · @damsonidris · 2025-06-03
    https://www.instagram.com/p/DKcBXwmogrL/
  17. 17
    APXGP · the ambassador cohort · X · @lofficielmy · 2025-06-18
    https://x.com/lofficielmy/status/1935320728607604948
Quid Monitor · topic 2938989 (Tommy Hilfiger) · window LAST_27MONTHS (May 2024 – Aug 2026), English-language social and news. Volumes, authors, mentions, sentiment, gender, geography and the monthly series are EXACT counts from the live topic index (targetType TOPIC), which holds the full window. Each partnership is the Tommy Hilfiger topic filtered to a partner term set, so figures describe Tommy-linked conversation only, not the teams' own. Geography was swept across 55 candidate markets; shares are of located posts only — 44% of Mercedes posts, 43% of Cadillac's and 42% of APXGP's carry a location. Durability is measured instead by concentration — the share of a partnership's posts falling in its single biggest year. Net sentiment = (positive − negative) ÷ classified posts × 100; all three sit near the ceiling because the parent topic does, so sentiment is context and the analysis is carried by volume, timing and composition.