QUID · NEW MEXICO 2ND DISTRICT · OCT 3 - OCT 9, 2026
Seven days of conversation about Gabe Vasquez and Greg Cunningham, split between posts that can be placed in New Mexico and posts from the rest of the country. One event carried the week: Donald Trump endorsed Cunningham on Saturday, and almost half of everything measured here was posted that day. Vasquez's week looks nothing like it.
Net sentiment runs on the left axis from −100 to +100. Gold bars carry total daily volume for both candidates combined; hover any bar for the narratives driving that day. Volume collapses after Saturday, from 2,310 posts to 96 by Friday. Cunningham owns the spike and almost nothing after it.
Both candidates read positive at home, but on very little. Cunningham's in-state figure rests on 19 stored documents and Vasquez's on 24, most of them comments under a handful of Facebook threads.
New Mexico
109 unique authors · 1 original posts
(1% of volume; the rest are reposts and replies).
Sentiment from 46 labeled posts, 30.7% of this slice;
stored sample behind the labels 19 documents.
The in-state positive cell is 16 stored documents, nearly all of them brief comments under the same two Facebook posts. They are statements of intent rather than argument.
We're voting. We're voting for Greg Cunningham.
Oct 4Source
Where the in-state conversation does make a case, it is about law enforcement. Commenters cite the Fraternal Order of Police endorsement of Cunningham against Vasquez, and the same fight shows up in Vasquez's own cells from the other direction.
Here's one where your Daddy Gabe was recently denounced by the Fraternal Order of Police and where that same organization endorsed Greg Cunningham. 2200+ members strong in NM.
Oct 3Source
Cunningham's in-state negative cell holds three stored documents in total. The clearest of them ties him to the endorsement rather than to anything local, which is the mirror image of what lifts him nationally.
Gabe has been representing New Mexico well. Cunningham will represent and support Trump's corruption not New Mexico.
Oct 6Source
New Mexico
124 unique authors · 7 original posts
(4% of volume; the rest are reposts and replies).
Sentiment from 96 labeled posts, 48.2% of this slice;
stored sample behind the labels 24 documents.
The single most engaged in-state post of the week is Vasquez's own. His campaign's Dirt Road Democrat tour launch in Hobbs drew 400 engagements, more than any other item measured inside New Mexico.
New Mexico, we are less than 30 days out until Election Day and today I am kicking off the #DirtRoadDemocrat Tour in the one and only Hobbs.
Gabe Vasquez for CongressOct 5Source
Several documents the classifier placed in Vasquez's positive in-state cell are attacks on him, including an itemized list of alleged legal and financial problems. With 24 stored documents behind the cell, a handful of misreads is enough to move the figure, which is why the +8.3 should be read as 'roughly even' and nothing finer.
One more time because you refused to take accountability for your actions, or inaction. This makes you unfit to serve.
Oct 5Source
The in-state case against Vasquez is built almost entirely on law enforcement, the border and veterans, repeated in near-identical phrasing across the same comment threads that carry Cunningham's positive cell.
30 more days, then the people need to vote anti-police, anti-military, anti-veteran, anti-ICE Gabe Vasquez out of office.
Oct 3Source
The same week reads differently depending on where you stand. Net sentiment is plotted from New Mexico on the left to the rest of the country on the right; the solid line counts every post naming a candidate, the dashed line counts only posts that name that candidate and not the other.
All posts naming the candidate Posts naming that candidate only
Cunningham reads better nationally than at home, +79.2 against +47.8, and the reason is visible in the dates. His national figure is one endorsement on one Saturday, amplified by accounts with no particular connection to the district. Strip the posts that also name Vasquez and he climbs further, to +92.7, which says the endorsement coverage is almost entirely about him rather than against his opponent.
Vasquez is the rarer case on this microsite: he reads better outside his state than inside it, +52.8 against +8.3. The national figure is built on incumbency, press releases, casework and wire coverage. The in-state figure is close to even and rests on 24 stored documents, several of which the classifier appears to have placed on the wrong side.
Geography, not party. Both columns cover the same week and the same two candidates; what separates them is which arguments actually travel.
Inside New Mexico the argument is concrete and local. The Fraternal Order of Police endorsement, public land policy, flood damage in Doña Ana County and a candidate tour through Hobbs. Almost all of it happens in the comments under a small number of Facebook posts.
Nationally the district barely exists as a district. It appears as a line in Trump's endorsement and as an entry in a syndicated Associated Press list of seats Republicans hope to flip. Only 9 percent of the conversation is original writing.
The national halves are larger and point the same way. Cunningham's is one endorsement travelling; Vasquez's is a working congressional office and a campaign tour.
Rest of United States
2,013 unique authors · 191 original posts
(6% of volume; the rest are reposts and replies).
Sentiment from 144 labeled posts, 4.8% of this slice;
stored sample behind the labels 61 documents.
Trump's endorsement video, released Saturday, is the single event behind Cunningham's national figure. Broadcast pages and Trump campaign accounts carried it, and the language of the endorsement, strong borders, lower taxes, energy production and the Second Amendment, is repeated nearly verbatim across the coverage.
President Donald Trump endorsed Greg Cunningham for New Mexico's 2nd Congressional District. Trump praised Cunningham's military and police service and said he would support strong borders, lower taxes, energy production and Second Amendment rights.
KFOX-TVOct 3Source
The reposted version of the endorsement is not about Cunningham's biography. It frames the race as a choice about oil and gas, and that framing is what travels through the retweets.
President Trump weighs in on the race in New Mexico's 2nd Congressional District: Democrat Gabe Vasquez supports ending New Mexico's oil and gas industry. If elected, Greg Cunningham will support energy independence.
@1_Working_StiffOct 3Source
Against roughly 3,000 national posts, the negative column is almost empty: 15 stored documents. The one piece of adversarial reporting concerns a missing military disclaimer on Cunningham's advertising and website.
Greg Cunningham ad omits required military disclaimer. The disclaimer is missing from Cunningham's campaign website as well.
Jesse ValentineOct 9Source
Rest of United States
395 unique authors · 165 original posts
(30% of volume; the rest are reposts and replies).
Sentiment from 284 labeled posts, 51.2% of this slice;
stored sample behind the labels 85 documents.
Vasquez's national positive cell is the largest evidence base in this race at 63 stored documents, and much of it is incumbency: press releases, constituent casework and local coverage that national aggregators pick up.
Rep. Gabe Vasquez sends letter to FAA demanding reversal of decommissioning of critical air safety technology.
Office of Rep. Gabe VasquezOct 5Source
One Associated Press piece on districts Republicans think they can flip is reprinted across dozens of regional outlets and lands in both candidates' national cells. It is a single story counted many times, which is most of what separates 3,031 national posts from 191 originals.
The midterm elections might look ominous for President Donald Trump, but there are places where his Republican Party could turn the tables on Democrats. National organizations are pumping money behind candidates that Republicans hope can provide bright spots.
Will WeissertOct 8Source
The sharpest national criticism is not about policy. It revisits Vasquez's past statements on policing and argues his current advertising contradicts them.
A new campaign advertisement for Democrat U.S. Rep. Gabe Vasquez is leaning heavily into law enforcement, but its biggest claim is contradicted by his own record.
Piñon PostOct 3Source
This page is the product of two different kinds of work. One half is data that no public API makes available; the other half is judgment about what the data does and does not support.
None of the following could be assembled from public endpoints inside a week.
The data does not interpret itself, and it arrives with traps in it.
Neither half can establish cause. This page measures what was said, how much of it there was, and who said it. It is not a poll, it does not model turnout, and it does not predict the November result.
primary: sentiment targeting, so the sentiment is scored
toward that named figure rather than toward the post as a whole.