QUID · OHIO U.S. SENATE · OCT 3 - OCT 9, 2026
Seven days of conversation about Sherrod Brown and Jon Husted, split between posts that can be placed in Ohio and posts from the rest of the country. Ohio itself is almost silent on this race. The state's two in-state cells hold 38 stored documents each, and everything that moves the numbers happens somewhere else.
Published polling, shown to set context. A poll asks a sample of voters which candidate they intend to support. Everything else on this page measures something different: the balance of positive and negative labeled posts about each candidate in the captured conversation. A candidate can lead the vote and still take the worse of the argument online, and where the two diverge this page explains the conversation, not the electorate.
Brown leads the polling average by about 3 points while Husted reads 13 points better inside Ohio and 77 points better nationally, the widest national gap on this page. Brown's in-state 0.0 is an artifact of 19 stored documents each way; under the single-subject test it falls to −42.9.
Net sentiment runs on the left axis from −100 to +100. Gold bars carry total daily volume for both candidates combined; hover any bar for the narratives driving that day. Husted leads on six of seven days. Brown's line never rises above zero and ends the week at its floor.
Both in-state figures sit on tiny bases. Brown's reads exactly zero because his stored documents split 19 against 19.
Ohio
1,918 unique authors · 340 original posts
(8% of volume; the rest are reposts and replies).
Sentiment from 710 labeled posts, 16.5% of this slice;
stored sample behind the labels 71 documents.
Brown's own account carries the sharpest in-state criticism of Husted, and it is about health insurers rather than about tenure or association.
Senator Jon Husted is in the pockets of the health insurance companies that are ripping you off.
@SherrodBrownOct 3Source
The strongest in-state material for Husted is expectation rather than approval. A Bowling Green State University poll found a majority expected Republicans to take the seat, and that finding circulated more than any argument for him.
In the BGSU poll, voters were more likely to expect the Republican candidates to win. Fifty-three percent said they believed Husted would win the Senate race.
@maggiewise111Oct 8Source
The same local anger about data centers that helps Brown appears directly against Husted in his own in-state cell, and it is the most hostile material from people identifying as Ohioans.
We don't want you in Ohio. Your data centers are the problem.
@AyeitsHayOct 2Source
Ohio
1,742 unique authors · 230 original posts
(8% of volume; the rest are reposts and replies).
Sentiment from 380 labeled posts, 12.5% of this slice;
stored sample behind the labels 38 documents.
What little Ohio says about Brown directly is about how long he has been in office. The framing comes from Husted's own campaign and is repeated almost verbatim by supporters.
He's been in office for 50 years. Can you name one thing that he's done for you to make your life better?
@MAGAIncWarRoomOct 3Source
The one Ohio subject with genuine cross-party energy is data center construction and what it does to power bills and land. It appears in Brown's favour because the anger is aimed at Republicans, including among their own voters.
Ohio Republicans have a big problem, and it's called data centers. Even Trump voters are upset about massive data centers.
@cwebbonlineOct 9Source
Brown's in-state cell splits exactly evenly, 19 stored positive documents against 19 negative, which is what produces a reading of 0.0. It is the clearest example on this microsite of a number that looks precise and means almost nothing.
Sherrod Brown has never had a real job. When he entered office, gas was around 36 cents a gallon.
@CyrusHundleyOct 7Source
The same week reads differently depending on where you stand. Net sentiment is plotted from Ohio on the left to the rest of the country on the right; the solid line counts every post naming a candidate, the dashed line counts only posts that name that candidate and not the other.
All posts naming the candidate Posts naming that candidate only
Husted reads better nationally than at home, +27.4 against +12.7, and better still at +48.3 once Brown's name is removed. Inside Ohio his figure is built on 71 stored documents and the strongest thing in it is an expectation that he will win rather than a reason he should.
Brown's 0.0 inside Ohio is the emptiest number on this microsite: 19 stored documents each way. Under the single-subject test it falls to -42.9, and his national reading falls to -72.5. Both halves are hostile; the in-state figure simply had too little in it to show that.
Geography, not party. Both columns cover the same week and the same two candidates; what separates them is which arguments actually travel.
Ohio is barely talking about this race. What it does say is about power bills, data center construction and health insurance, and it comes through the two campaigns' own accounts rather than from voters. Both in-state cells are too small to carry a precise figure.
Nationally the race is loud and one-sided. A vice-presidential visit, a documented donation followed by a vote, and a contested account of who blocked lower electricity costs. The national gap between the two candidates is the widest on the microsite.
Nationally the two diverge sharply: Husted at +27.4 and Brown at -49.3, the widest national gap in any race on this microsite.
Rest of United States
26,905 unique authors · 5,141 original posts
(11% of volume; the rest are reposts and replies).
Sentiment from 8,624 labeled posts, 18.2% of this slice;
stored sample behind the labels 1,856 documents.
The most circulated national item in Husted's cells is a specific sequence: a maximum donation from a named donor, followed two months later by a vote against releasing related files. It is the one claim in this race with dates attached.
Republican Sen. Jon Husted took the maximum donation from Epstein co-conspirator Les Wexner. Two months later, Husted voted to kill an amendment forcing the release.
@GOP__LsOct 9Source
A dispute over who blocked a ratepayer bill runs through the national cells, with each side claiming the other prevented lower electricity costs. It is the clearest policy argument in the race and it reaches both candidates.
Republicans are telling you Democrats blocked a bill to lower your electricity bill. Here's what actually happened on the Senate floor Thursday.
@DittiePEOct 9Source
A recurring national thread treats Husted mainly as the Republican who stood aside in the governor's race. The Senate contest is frequently a subplot of the other Ohio race rather than a subject of its own.
Lieutenant governor Jon Husted was widely viewed as the leading Republican likely to become Ohio governor.
@LaundryQueen__Oct 9Source
Rest of United States
18,458 unique authors · 4,286 original posts
(14% of volume; the rest are reposts and replies).
Sentiment from 6,352 labeled posts, 20.3% of this slice;
stored sample behind the labels 1,612 documents.
JD Vance campaigned in Ohio and attacked both Brown and Acton in the same speech. The clip was the most circulated item of the week and is the main driver of Brown's -49.3 national figure.
JD Vance attacked Democrats Amy Acton and Sherrod Brown during an Ohio appearance as the GOP hold on the state could slip.
Andrew StantonOct 9Source
The second national theme is association rather than record: Brown presented as a continuation of the last administration. It requires no specific claim, which is why it repeats so easily.
Sherrod Brown is Biden's best buddy. Has been for decades. Why would we vote for this again?
@THEDAYTONDUDEOct 8Source
Student journalism covered how transgender-focused campaign advertising from this race was landing with the people it describes. It is among the few national items about the race's own conduct rather than its personalities.
Democrat Sherrod Brown and Republican Jon Husted are locked in a bitter race for Ohio's open seat.
Lily Nobel and Skylar BrunkOct 9Source
This page is the product of two different kinds of work. One half is data that no public API makes available; the other half is judgment about what the data does and does not support.
None of the following could be assembled from public endpoints inside a week.
The data does not interpret itself, and it arrives with traps in it.
Neither half can establish cause. This page measures what was said, how much of it there was, and who said it. It is not a poll, it does not model turnout, and it does not predict the November result.
primary: sentiment targeting, so the sentiment is scored
toward that named figure rather than toward the post as a whole.